Country Risk Reports
UAE Risk April 2018
The United Arab Emirates is a stable country in terms of politics and economics but has been affected by repercussions from the Qatar blockade and Opec’s quota caps. Economic risk…
Tunisia Risk April 2018
Tunisia is struggling to push through reforms after securing a $2.9bn credit line from the IMF and $8bn from regional allies. Political risks further may be lifting after January 2018’s…
Qatar Risk April 2018
Qatar’s economic and financial resilience in the face of the economic blockade raises hopes that the risks to the economy and wellbeing of its citizens can be minimised. But there…
Kuwait Risk April 2018
Kuwait will enjoy growth after 2017’s slump but the economy still faces risks relating to the geopolitical and domestic political backdrop and the commercial environment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Kuwait can…
Saudi Arabia Risk April 2018
The political revolution unveiled by Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman raises questions about the economic reform programme, anti-corruption measures and political instability in the normally stable kingdom. Economic risk (MEDIUM):…
Egypt Risk April 2018
The economy is showing signs of responding to the IMF medicine but security and domestic political issues remain a concern. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth, falling deficits, a turnaround in…
UAE Risk March 2018
The United Arab Emirates is a stable country in terms of politics and economics but has been affected by repercussions from the Qatar blockade. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy looks…
Qatar Risk March 2018
Qatar’s economic and financial resilience in the face of the economic blockade raises hopes that the risks to the economy and wellbeing of its citizens can be minimised. But there…
Libya Risk March 2018
Implementing a true government of national unity is needed to mend economic and social destruction since the fall of Muammer Gaddafi. Risk levels remain extremely high. Economic risk (HIGH): The…
Lebanon Risk March 2018
Lebanon’s anaemic economic growth is due to the ongoing Syrian war, regional tensions, the refugee crisis and weak public finances. Economic risk (HIGH): Economic prospects remain sluggish. Lebanon is in…
Kuwait Risk March 2018
Kuwait will enjoy growth after 2017’s slump but the economy still faces risks relating to the geopolitical and domestic political backdrop and the commercial environment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Kuwait can…
Saudi Arabia Risk March 2018
The political revolution unveiled by Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman raises questions about the economic reform programme, anti-corruption measures and political instability in the normally stable kingdom. Economic risk (MEDIUM):…
Egypt Risk March 2018
The economy is showing signs of responding to the IMF medicine but security and domestic political issues remain a concern. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth, falling deficits, a turnaround in…
Yemen Risk February 2018
A warning of the worst famine since 1945 adds to signs shows signs of further deterioration of Yemen as a country. The failure of peace talks has reduced the already…
Sudan Risk February 2018
Sudan is finally set for a return to stable albeit anaemic growth after the turmoil caused by secession of South Sudan after five years. The lifting of most US sanctions…
Oman Risk February 2018
Oman faces sizeable and lasting twin deficits and the prospect of a meagre growth outlook, while succession risk hangs over the sultanate. Economic risk (HIGH): The fall in the international…
Morocco Risk February 2018
The outlook for Morocco depends on its success in pushing through its reform agenda. Meanwhile risks remain from global economic conditions, and high unemployment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economic recovery…
Egypt Risk February 2018
The economy is showing signs of responding to the IMF medicine but security and domestic political issues remain a concern. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Falling external deficits, a turnaround in tourism,…
Bahrain Risk February 2018
Bahrain’s move to become a high tech financial hub could be undermined by concerns over its external financing position, a more hardline authoritarian streak, and diplomatic rift with Qatar. Economic…
Algeria Risk February 2018
Algeria faces an era of economic and political stagnation as it embarks on fiscal consolidation under an ageing leader. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy is forecast to enter a period…
UAE Risk January 2018
The United Arab Emirates is a stable country in terms of politics and economics but has been affected by repercussions from the Qatar blockade. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Diversification away from…
Qatar Risk January 2018
The stalemate between Qatar and the major GCC powers over the blockade raises the threat of risks to the economy and wellbeing of its citizens, denting the country’s reputation Qatar…
Kuwait Risk January 2018
The recession in 2017 should be a one-off but Kuwait still faces risks relating to the geopolitical and domestic political backdrop and the commercial environment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Kuwait can…
Saudi Arabia Risk January 2018
The political revolution unveiled by Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman raises questions about the economic reform programme, anti-corruption measures and political instability in the normally stable kingdom. Economic risk (MEDIUM):…
Jordan Risk January 2018
Rising refugee numbers, a possible of return of IS fighters, and protests over food prices are causing uncertainty, although measures of political, financial and commercial risk are moderate. Economic risk…
Iran Risk January 2018
The imminent decision by Donald Trump over whether to cancel the nuclear deal threatens to crimp growth, stir political opposition to Rouhani, and deter investors. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Even assuming…
Egypt Risk January 2018
The economy is showing signs of responding to the IMF medicine but security and domestic political issues remain a concern. Economic risk (MEDIUM): A return to private sector growth, a…
Iraq Risk December 2017
Political security risks have moderated following victories over Islamic State but have been replaced by Kurdish tensions. Economic growth is still at risk while Iraq is a difficult place to…
Syria Risk December 2017
The recapture of Deir Ezzor shows that the outcome war is turning to the Assad regime. But the economy, politics and finances in Syria are likely to continue on a…
Palestine Risk December 2017
Political and security uncertainties may be easing but the outlook for growth is gloomy. There is an urgent need for scaled up support from financial donors to fill a $600m…