Algeria faces a new political era whose uncertainty will compound economic and political stagna- tion and concerns over scal management. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The defenestration of ex-president Abdelaziz Boute ika…

The constitutional amendment extending President Sisi’s term gives him extra power at a time when sustained growth levels indicate the economy is responding to the bailout medicine. Economic risk (MEDIUM):…

Rising refugee numbers, a possible return of IS ghters, and protests over food prices are causing uncertainty, although measures of political, nancial and commercial risk are moderate. Economic risk (MEDIUM):…

The outlook for Morocco depends on its success in pushing through its reform agenda. Meanwhile risks remain from global economic conditions, and high unemployment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economic recovery…

Oman faces sizeable and persistent twin de cits and the prospect of a meagre growth outlook, while succession risk hangs over the sultanate. Economic risk (HIGH): Higher prices following cuts…

Tunisia has strived to push through reforms needed to secure the fourth tranche of a $2.9bn credit line from the IMF. But political risks further may be lifting after January…

Bahrain’s move to become a high tech nancial hub could be undermined by concerns over its external nancing position, a more hardline authoritarian streak, and diplomatic rift with Qatar. Economic…

The political debate over extending President Sisi’s term threatens to overshadow sustained growth levels that are signs the economy is responding to the bailout medicine. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth,…

Kuwait will enjoy 4%+ growth after 2017’s slump thanks to higher oil output and prices. Risks remain relating to the geopolitical and domestic political backdrop and the commercial environ- ment.…

Qatar has shown strong resilience in the face of the economic blockade by its four Arab neigh- bours. Its access to global bond, foreign investment and export markets indicates it…

The economy has recovered from the 2017 recession, but the scale of rebound is unclear as ques- tion marks hang over the government’s handling of a series of challenges. Economic…

The United Arab Emirates is a stable country in terms of politics and economics but has been a ected by repercussions from the Qatar blockade and OPEC’s quota caps. Economic…

Algeria faces an era of economic and political stagnation and concerns over its scal management as it embarks on consolidation under an ageing leader. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy is…

Egypt’s con dence in not needing to renew its latest $4bn nance line from the IMF together with sustained growth levels are further signs the economy is responding to the…

The second round of US President Donald Trump’s sanctions will seriously weaken Iran’s economy, its nances, inward investment and the politics of the region. Economic risk (HIGH): Now that the…

The outlook for Morocco depends on its success in pushing through its reform agenda. Meanwhile risks remain from global economic conditions, and high unemployment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economic recovery…

Oman faces sizeable and persistent twin de cits and the prospect of a meagre growth outlook, while succession risk hangs over the sultanate. Economic risk (HIGH): Higher prices following cuts…

Sudan is set for a stable but slowing growth pro le after the turmoil caused by the secession of South Sudan in 2011. The partial lifting of most US sanctions…

Tunisia has strived to push through reforms needed to secure the fourth tranche of a $2.9bn credit line from the IMF. But political risks further may be lifting after January…

The United Arab Emirates is a stable country in terms of politics and economics but has been a ected by repercussions from the Qatar blockade and OPEC’s quota caps. •…

Qatar has shown strong resilience in the face of the economic blockade by its four Arab neigh- bours. But its withdrawal from Opec indicates no appetite for compromise. • Economic…

Kuwait will enjoy 4%+ growth after 2017’s slump thanks to higher oil output and prices. Risks remain relating to the geopolitical and domestic political backdrop and the commercial environ- ment.…

bin Salman may face curbs on his power that might in turn a ect progress on the National Transfor- mation Program. • Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth in the second…

Summary Egypt’s con dence in not needing to renew its nance line from the IMF together with sustained growth levels are further signs the economy is responding to the bailout…

Bahrain’s move to become a high tech nancial hub could be undermined by concerns over its external nancing position, a more hardline authoritarian streak, and diplomatic rift with Qatar. •…

Tunisia has strived to push through reforms needed to secure the fourth tranche of a $2.9bn credit line from the IMF. But political risks further may be lifting after January…

The interventions by the US, Turkey, Russia, Iran and Israel in Syria add to the risks of international escalation. The economy, politics and nances in Syria are likely to continue…

Oman faces sizeable and persistent twin de cits and the prospect of a meagre growth outlook, while succession risk hangs over the sultanate. • Economic risk (HIGH): Higher prices following…

The outlook for Morocco depends on its success in pushing through its reform agenda. Meanwhile risks remain from global economic conditions, and high unemployment. • Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economic…

Egypt’s con dence in not needing to renew its nance line from the IMF together with sustained growth levels are further signs the economy is responding to the bailout medicine.…