Sudan is finally set for a return to stable albeit anaemic growth after the turmoil caused by secession of South Sudan after five years. The lifting of most US sanctions will help offset the negative political, economic and financial risks.
Economic risk (MEDIUM): The outlook for growth is for modest growth although the weak market exchange rate is a major risk.
Political risk (HIGH): The lifting of US sanctions is a plus for the domestic leadership. The national dialogue between the government and opposition after the April 2015 elections appears to be making slow progress as do talks with South Sudan. But risks are still high.
Financial risk (HIGH): Banking sector soundness indicators remain positive and the authorities are finalising a comprehensive reform that aims at restructuring the banking sector.
Commercial risk (HIGH): Sudan is a difficult place in the world to do business but the authorities are undertaking a comprehensive overhaul of the legal framework that governs investment.