Rising refugee numbers possible of return of IS fighters, and protests over food prices are causing uncertainty, although measures of political, financial and commercial risk are moderate.
Economic risk (MEDIUM): The main risk remains the regional events in Iraq and Syria and the slowdown in GCC’s economic performance.
Political risk (MEDIUM): Further wins by the Muslim Brotherhood will highlight the growth of Islamic political parties. Jordan may face a return of Jordanian IS terrorist fighters
Financial risk (MEDIUM): Jordan’s government has plans in place to reduce public debt while the private banking system is profitable and well capitalised and regulated.
Commercial risk (MEDIUM): Jordan has unveiled a raft of business friendly measures to help offset its ranking in the World Bank’s Doing Business and lure some of the 44% of firms estimated to operate in the informal economy.