News archive
Oman Risk September 2017
Oman faces sizeable and lasting twin deficits and the prospect of a meagre growth outlook, while succession risk hangs over the sultanate. • Economic risk (HIGH): The fall in the international oil price has pushed the fiscal and current account balan...
Morocco Risk September 2017
The outlook for Morocco depends on its success in pushing through its reform agenda. Meanwhile risks remain from global economic conditions, and high unemployment. • Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economic recovery is still on track for recovery and may...
Libya Risk September 2017
Implementing a true government of national unity is needed to mend economic and social destruction since the fall of Muammer Gaddafi. Risk levels remain extremely high. • Economic risk (HIGH): The upturn in oil production is good news and could heral...
Egypt Risk September 2017
The tough medicine of the $12bn IMF loan and a 55% currency devaluation is starting to cure the patient but security issues remain a concern. • Economic risk (MEDIUM): An easing in the contraction in non-oil activity and a rise in reserves and remiot...
Bahrain Risk September 2017
Concerns over its external financing position combined with a more hardline authoritarian streak threatens to undermine its position as a financial centre and trade hub. • Economic risk (MEDIUM): The downgrade of its sovereign debt to junk by all thr...
Algeria Risk September 2017
Risks to economic growth from the oil price fall have turned negative. The speed and scale of the fiscal consolidation programme have raised concerns. • Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy is forecast to enter a period of substantially lower growth t...
Yemen Risk August 2017
A severe outbreak of cholera has added to the world’s worst humanitarian catastrophe since 1945 that shows signs of further deterioration. The failure of peace talks has reduced the already low hopes of economic recovery. • Political risk (HIGH): The...
Qatar Risk August 2017
The escalating diplomatic row with the major GCC powers raises the threat of risks to the economy and wellbeing of its citizens, denting the country’s reputation Qatar as a stable but authoritarian country. • Political risk (LOW): The political spat...