News archive
Oman: Risk November 2018
Oman faces sizeable and persistent twin de cits and the prospect of a meagre growth outlook, while succession risk hangs over the sultanate. Economic risk (HIGH): The drop in oil revenues as Oman stuck to the OPEC cuts pushed the scal and current acc...
Morocco: Risk November 2018
The outlook for Morocco depends on its success in pushing through its reform agenda. Meanwhile risks remain from global economic conditions, and high unemployment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economic recovery is still on track for recovery but with...
Lebanon: Risk November 2018
Lebanon’s anaemic economic growth is due to the ongoing Syrian war, political paralysis, the refugee crisis and weak public nances. Economic risk (HIGH): Economic prospects remain sluggish amid the political turmoil as consumers and business decline...
Iran: Risk November 2018
The second round of US President Donald Trump’s sanctions will seriously weaken Iran’s economy, its nances, inward investment and the politics of the region. Economic risk (HIGH): Now that the sanctions are being imposed, Iran must look to China, Ind...
Egypt: Risk November 2018
A recent raft of positive economic news and praise by the IMF are further signs the economy is showing signs of responding to the bailout medicine. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth, a budget surplus, falling unemployment, and fresh investment...
Algeria: Risk November 2018
SUMMARY Algeria faces an era of economic and political stagnation and concerns over its scal management as it embarks on consolidation under an ageing leader. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy is likely to endure a slowdown as the government revert...
United Arab Emirates: Risk October 2018
The United Arab Emirates is a stable country in terms of politics and economics but has been affected by repercussions from the Qatar blockade and OPEC’s quota caps. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy looks set for a sustainable 3% growth rate. The...
Qatar: Risk October 2018
Qatar has shown strong resilience in the face of the economic blockade by its four Arab neighbours. But there is little sign of an end to the crisis and an ongoing risk of escalation. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The growth downgrade by the IMF is the lat...