News archive
Syria Risk Report June 2017
The primary risk is that the economy will collapse and that Syria will cease to exist as a country either due to the conflict or as a result of any peace agreement. The intensity of the seven-year long war has made it very hard to understand the curr...
Oman Risk Report June 2017
The main risk to the economic outlook of Oman is the impact of the low levels of international oil prices since mid-2014. The economy suffered a sharp slowdown in 2016 and the prospects are for relatively anaemic growth going forward. The sultanate d...
Iraq Risk Report June 2017
The macroeconomic outlook is subject to major risks related to the global environment, oil prices and the IS insurgency despite recent signs of improvement. Iraq is highly dependent on the hydrocarbon sector, which provides around two thirds of annua...
Bahrain Risk Report June 2017
The sustained low level of world oil prices into 2016 has cast a shadow over the outlook for economic growth, the fiscal balance, and the external balance in Bahrain. Growth is expected to slow markedly through to 2019 on account of the fiscal adjust...
Egypt Risk Report June 2017
Egypt is going through a structural economic reform programme that will bring mixed results in the both the short and medium terms. The agreement of a $12bn loan has restored its reserves, attracted foreign investment and boosted confidence. The abil...
UAE Risk Report May 2017
The main external risk remains the possibility of persistently lower energy prices. The drop in oil and gas prices has led to a significant slowdown in economic growth. The economy slowed in 2016 in the wake of the falls in the oil price. Qatar is hi...
Qatar Risk Report May 2017
The main external risk remains the possibility of persistently lower energy prices. The drop in oil and gas prices has led to a significant slowdown in economic growth. The economy slowed in 2016 in the wake of the falls in the oil price. Qatar is hi...
Morocco Risk Report May 2017
The medium term outlook is among the most positive in North Africa despite the recent forecast downgrades. The main risk to these new modest expectations is that targets for implementing prudent macroeconomic policies and structural reforms will not...