News archive
Egypt: Risk May 2019
The constitutional amendment extending President Sisi’s term gives him extra power at a time when sustained growth levels indicate the economy is responding to the bailout medicine. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth, a budget surplus, falling u...
Jordan: Risk May 2019
Rising refugee numbers, a possible return of IS ghters, and protests over food prices are causing uncertainty, although measures of political, nancial and commercial risk are moderate. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Jordan is set for slower growth but has s...
Morocco: Risk May 2019
The outlook for Morocco depends on its success in pushing through its reform agenda. Meanwhile risks remain from global economic conditions, and high unemployment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economic recovery is still on track for recovery but with...
Oman: Risk May 2019
Oman faces sizeable and persistent twin de cits and the prospect of a meagre growth outlook, while succession risk hangs over the sultanate. Economic risk (HIGH): Higher prices following cuts in Opec production quotes may help reduce the scal and cur...
Tunisia: Risk May 2019
Tunisia has strived to push through reforms needed to secure the fourth tranche of a $2.9bn credit line from the IMF. But political risks further may be lifting after January 2018’s unrest. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy is on track for 4% growt...
Bahrain: Risk April 2019
Bahrain’s move to become a high tech nancial hub could be undermined by concerns over its external nancing position, a more hardline authoritarian streak, and diplomatic rift with Qatar. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Slower growth in the third and fourth q...
Egypt: Risk April 2019
The political debate over extending President Sisi’s term threatens to overshadow sustained growth levels that are signs the economy is responding to the bailout medicine. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth, a budget surplus, falling unemploymen...
Kuwait: Risk April 2019
Kuwait will enjoy 4%+ growth after 2017’s slump thanks to higher oil output and prices. Risks remain relating to the geopolitical and domestic political backdrop and the commercial environ- ment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The rise in oil prices and div...