News archive
Egypt: Risk April 2019
The political debate over extending President Sisi’s term threatens to overshadow sustained growth levels that are signs the economy is responding to the bailout medicine. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth, a budget surplus, falling unemploymen...
Kuwait: Risk April 2019
Kuwait will enjoy 4%+ growth after 2017’s slump thanks to higher oil output and prices. Risks remain relating to the geopolitical and domestic political backdrop and the commercial environ- ment. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The rise in oil prices and div...
Qatar: Risk April 2019
Qatar has shown strong resilience in the face of the economic blockade by its four Arab neigh- bours. Its access to global bond, foreign investment and export markets indicates it may have become stronger as a result Economic risk (MEDIUM): The susta...
Saudi Arabia: Risk April 2019
The economy has recovered from the 2017 recession, but the scale of rebound is unclear as ques- tion marks hang over the government’s handling of a series of challenges. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The recovery in growth in 2018 after the 2017 recession...
United Arab Emirates: Risk April 2019
The United Arab Emirates is a stable country in terms of politics and economics but has been a ected by repercussions from the Qatar blockade and OPEC’s quota caps. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy looks set for a sustainable 3.5% growth rate. The...
Algeria: Risk March 2019
Algeria faces an era of economic and political stagnation and concerns over its scal management as it embarks on consolidation under an ageing leader. Economic risk (MEDIUM): The economy is likely to endure a slowdown as the government reverts to sca...
Egypt: Risk March 2019
Egypt’s con dence in not needing to renew its latest $4bn nance line from the IMF together with sustained growth levels are further signs the economy is responding to the bailout medicine. Economic risk (MEDIUM): Stronger growth, a budget surplus, fa...
Iran: Risk March 2019
The second round of US President Donald Trump’s sanctions will seriously weaken Iran’s economy, its nances, inward investment and the politics of the region. Economic risk (HIGH): Now that the sanctions are being imposed, Iran must look to China, Ind...